Executive Summary
The 12 filings from S&P BSE BANKEX constituents for October 1, 2026, reveal a banking sector in a phase of strong credit growth but with emerging margin pressures and regulatory headwinds. Canara Bank's provisional Q2 FY2027 data shows robust 15.83% YoY global business growth, driven by a 19.35% surge in advances, though QoQ deceleration suggests a potential slowdown in momentum.
Leadership transitions dominate the news, with HDFC Bank's appointment of Anup Bagchi as MD & CEO (a positive signal given his track record) and Kotak Mahindra Bank's CEO succession plan, indicating a period of strategic realignment. Credit quality trends are mixed: AU Small Finance Bank's rating outlook upgrade to Positive reflects improving asset quality (GNPA down to 2.1%), while IDFC First Bank's stable rating highlights elevated operating costs. Regulatory risks have surfaced, with Punjab National Bank receiving an SEBI warning for insider trading violations and ICICI Bank facing a ₹229 crore GST demand, adding to sector compliance costs. Overall, the sector shows robust loan growth, but investors should watch for margin compression from rising deposit costs and monitor the impact of new leadership on strategic direction.
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Filing types in this digest: Debt securities
Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior BSE Bankex Banking Sector Regulatory Filings digest from September 24, 2026.
Investment Signals (12)
- HDFC Bank ↓ (BULLISH)▲
Appointment of Anup Bagchi as MD & CEO (effective Oct 27, 2026) is a strong positive catalyst; his prior leadership at ICICI Prudential Life drove 40% PAT growth and at ICICI Bank oversaw retail mortgage portfolio crossing ₹2 trillion, signaling potential for accelerated retail expansion and profitability improvement
- Canara Bank ↓ (BULLISH)▲
Global advances grew 19.35% YoY, significantly outpacing global deposits growth of 13.13% YoY, indicating rising credit-to-deposit ratio and potential for NIM expansion if funding costs remain stable
- AU Small Finance Bank ↓ (BULLISH)▲
ICRA revised outlook to Positive (from Stable) with AA rating; RoA of 1.6% in Q1 FY2027 and CAR of 18.9% provide strong capital buffer; GNPA improved to 2.1% from 2.5% YoY, signaling improving asset quality and earnings momentum
- Canara Bank ↓ (BULLISH)▲
RAM (Retail, Agriculture, MSME) domestic portfolio grew 21.00% YoY, the highest among all segments, showing successful diversification into high-yield retail lending away from corporate book
- Punjab National Bank ↓ (BEARISH)▲
SEBI warning letter for insider trading violations involving 6 individuals (3 designated persons and relatives) trading during June-August 2024; while no financial penalty, it raises governance concerns and could lead to stricter compliance costs
- ICICI Bank ↓ (BEARISH)▲
Received GST demand notice of ₹229 crore plus interest/penalty; already in litigation on similar issues, indicating recurring tax liability risk that could impact earnings by 2-3% if sustained
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Rating affirmed at 'IND AA+/Stable' but note highlights higher operating expenses and credit costs constraining internal accruals; retail/agri/MSME book at 79% of funded exposure provides stability but cost efficiency remains a drag [NEUTRAL/BEARISH]
- Kotak Mahindra Bank ↓ (BULLISH)▲
RBI approval for Anup Kumar Saha as MD & CEO (effective Jan 1, 2027) brings deep experience from Bajaj Finance and ICICI Bank; his focus on retail banking and data analytics could drive digital transformation and customer acquisition
- Canara Bank ↓ (BEARISH)▲
QoQ growth across all segments was moderate (4.67%-6.21%), indicating a deceleration from prior quarter's pace; domestic advances grew only 4.67% QoQ, suggesting potential slowdown in credit demand or increased competition
- AU Small Finance Bank ↓ (BEARISH)▲
CASA share remains moderate at 29% with high bulk deposits at 42%, making liability franchise vulnerable to rate hikes and potentially pressuring NIMs in a rising rate environment
- IndusInd Bank ↓ (NEUTRAL)▲
No new debt issuances or redemptions in H1 FY2027; with ₹1,500 Cr debenture maturing Dec 9, 2026 (7.60% coupon), the bank faces refinancing risk in a potentially higher interest rate environment
- Canara Bank ↓ (BULLISH)▲
Management changes with new HR Head and promoted CGM in Inspection Wing could signal focus on operational efficiency and internal controls, potentially improving governance and cost management
Risk Flags (10)
- Punjab National Bank/Insider Trading↓ [HIGH RISK]▼
SEBI warning for insider trading violations by designated persons and relatives; trading occurred during June-August 2024, suggesting weak internal controls and compliance culture; could lead to further regulatory scrutiny or penalties
- ICICI Bank/GST Demand↓ [HIGH RISK]▼
₹229 crore GST demand plus interest and penalty on services to minimum-balance customers; already in litigation on similar issues, indicating systemic tax exposure that could escalate to ₹500+ crore if multiple notices are aggregated
- Canara Bank/Deceleration↓ [MEDIUM RISK]▼
QoQ growth across all segments (4.67%-6.21%) is significantly lower than YoY growth rates (10.96%-21.00%), suggesting a sharp deceleration in momentum; domestic deposits grew only 5.05% QoQ, indicating potential funding constraints
- IDFC First Bank/Cost Pressures↓ [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Rating rationale explicitly notes higher operating expenses and credit costs constraining internal accruals; with 79% retail/agri/MSME book, any deterioration in these segments could amplify credit costs and pressure profitability
- AU Small Finance Bank/Funding Mix↓ [MEDIUM RISK]▼
High bulk deposits at 42% and moderate CASA at 29% create liability franchise vulnerability; in a rising rate scenario, NIMs could compress by 15-20 bps as the bank may need to increase deposit rates to retain bulk deposits
- IndusInd Bank/Refinancing Risk↓ [MEDIUM RISK]▼
₹1,500 Cr debenture maturing Dec 9, 2026 (7.60% coupon); with no new issuances in H1, the bank may need to refinance at higher rates if current yields have risen, potentially increasing interest costs by 50-75 bps
- HDFC Bank/Leadership Transition↓ [LOW RISK]▼
CEO change on Oct 27, 2026, while positive, carries execution risk; Mr. Bagchi's insurance background may require adjustment period to banking-specific challenges like NIM management and asset quality
- Kotak Mahindra Bank/CEO Transition Gap↓ [LOW RISK]▼
Anup Kumar Saha's appointment effective Jan 1, 2027, leaves a 3-month gap from current leadership; strategic decisions may be delayed during transition, potentially impacting Q3 FY2027 performance
- Canara Bank/Provisioning Risk↓ [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Figures are provisional and subject to audit; any adjustments could alter reported growth rates; RAM segment's 21% YoY growth may face higher NPA incidence if underwriting standards loosened
- ICICI Bank/Regulatory Compliance↓ [LOW RISK]▼
Routine advertisement for physical securities dematerialisation suggests low compliance risk, but any non-compliance with SEBI circular could attract penalties; low materiality but adds to regulatory burden
Opportunities (10)
- AU Small Finance Bank/Rating Upgrade Catalyst↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
ICRA outlook revision to Positive from Stable signals potential rating upgrade to AA+ within 12-18 months; with RoA of 1.6% and CAR 18.9%, the bank is well-positioned for growth; trading at discount to large private peers, offers re-rating potential
- Canara Bank/High Growth RAM Segment↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
RAM portfolio growing 21% YoY offers exposure to high-yield retail lending; with global business at ₹30.7 lakh crore and strong YoY growth, the stock may benefit from earnings upgrades if Q2 audited numbers confirm trends
- HDFC Bank/New CEO Catalyst↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
Anup Bagchi's appointment could unlock value through retail expansion and digital initiatives; his track record of 40% PAT growth at ICICI Prudential and ₹2 trillion mortgage portfolio at ICICI Bank suggests potential for 15-20% earnings upside over 3 years
- IDFC First Bank/Stable Rating with Upside↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
'IND AA+/Stable' rating provides debt investors with high-quality exposure; with ₹17,520 crore in rated instruments and stable outlook, the bank's bonds offer attractive risk-adjusted yields for fixed income investors
- Kotak Mahindra Bank/New Leadership Premium↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
Anup Kumar Saha's experience at Bajaj Finance (MD & CEO) and ICICI Bank (retail secured assets) could drive retail lending growth and digital innovation; his appointment may lead to a re-rating as market prices in strategic clarity
- Canara Bank/Management Changes↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
New HR Head and Inspection Wing CGM could improve operational efficiency and risk management; if successful, cost-to-income ratio could improve by 100-150 bps, boosting profitability
- AU Small Finance Bank/Asset Quality Improvement↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
GNPA declining from 2.5% to 2.1% YoY and 96% MFI portfolio under CGFMU coverage reduces credit risk; improving asset quality could lead to lower credit costs and higher RoA, supporting valuation expansion
- ICICI Bank/GST Litigation Resolution↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
If the ₹229 crore GST demand is successfully contested (given existing litigation), the stock could see a relief rally; the bank's strong legal position may limit financial impact, creating a buying opportunity on weakness
- Canara Bank/Deposit Growth Opportunity↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
Domestic deposits growing 10.96% YoY (though lagging advances) still indicates strong liability franchise; if the bank can accelerate deposit growth through branch expansion, it could fund the 19% advances growth without margin pressure
- Punjab National Bank/No Financial Penalty↓ (OPPORTUNITY)◆
SEBI warning letter carries no monetary penalty, limiting immediate financial impact; if the bank strengthens compliance systems, the stock could recover from any short-term negative sentiment
Sector Themes (6)
- Strong Credit Growth with Deceleration Signals◆
Canara Bank's 19.35% YoY advances growth is robust, but QoQ growth of only 4.67%-6.21% suggests a potential slowdown in credit momentum; this pattern may be sector-wide as banks face higher base effects and rising rates, implying that Q3 FY2027 could see further moderation
- Leadership Transitions Reshaping Strategy◆
Two major private banks (HDFC Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank) are undergoing CEO changes within 3 months, signaling a generational shift in Indian banking leadership; both appointees have strong retail and digital backgrounds, suggesting a sector-wide pivot towards retail-focused, technology-driven strategies
- Regulatory Scrutiny Intensifying◆
Two banks (PNB for insider trading, ICICI for GST) faced regulatory actions in the same period, indicating heightened compliance and tax scrutiny across the sector; this could lead to increased compliance costs and potential earnings headwinds of 1-3% for affected banks
- Asset Quality Divergence Between Small and Large Banks◆
AU Small Finance Bank shows improving asset quality (GNPA down to 2.1%) while IDFC First Bank's rating notes higher credit costs; this divergence suggests that smaller banks are managing credit risk better, possibly due to more conservative underwriting post-COVID, while larger banks face legacy NPA challenges
- Deposit Growth Lagging Credit Growth◆
Canara Bank's deposits grew 13.13% YoY vs advances at 19.35% YoY, a gap of over 600 bps; this trend, if sector-wide, could lead to margin compression as banks compete for deposits, potentially impacting NIMs by 10-15 bps across the sector in H2 FY2027
- Capital Adequacy Remains Strong◆
AU Small Finance Bank's CAR of 18.9% and IDFC First Bank's stable ratings indicate that capital levels are adequate across the sector; this provides a buffer for growth and dividend payments, but also suggests that banks may prioritize growth over capital return in the near term
Watch List (8)
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Anup Bagchi takes charge Oct 27, 2026; watch for his first strategic announcements, Q3 FY2027 guidance, and any changes to retail lending strategy or digital initiatives
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₹1,500 Cr debenture matures Dec 9, 2026; monitor refinancing plans and coupon rates, which will signal the bank's funding cost trajectory
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Provisional figures show strong growth; audited results expected in late October/early November will confirm trends and provide NIM and asset quality data
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Watch for the bank's reply to the SCN and any court orders on the existing writ petition; a favorable outcome could remove a ₹229 crore+ overhang
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ICRA's Positive outlook could lead to an actual upgrade in 12-18 months; monitor quarterly performance for sustained RoA above 1.6% and GNPA below 2%
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Anup Kumar Saha's appointment requires Board and member approval; any delays or shareholder dissent could create uncertainty
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Watch for the bank's remedial steps on insider trading controls; any further SEBI communication or penalties would be negative
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Monitor operating expense ratio in Q3 FY2027; if costs decline, it could trigger a rating upgrade and improve profitability
Filing Analyses
(12)
01-10-2026
IndusInd Bank Limited filed a half-yearly statement of debt securities as of September 30, 2026, under SEBI regulations. The bank has two outstanding debentures: one for ₹1,500 Cr (7.60% coupon, maturing December 9, 2026) and another for ₹2,800 Cr (8.11% coupon, maturing October 29, 2031). No new issuances or redemptions were reported for the period.
- · Filing made under Regulation 17 of SEBI (Issue and Listing of Non-Convertible Securities) Regulations, 2021.
- · Both debentures have no embedded options.
- · Coupon payments are annual for both securities.
- · The first debenture (ISIN INE095A08058) was issued on December 9, 2016, and matures on December 9, 2026.
- · The second debenture (ISIN INE095A08090) was issued on October 29, 2021, and matures on October 29, 2031.
01-10-2026
Canara Bank announced a change in management effective October 1, 2026. Shri Shambhu Lal has taken charge as the Head of the Human Resources Wing, replacing Shri B P Jatav who retired upon superannuation. Additionally, Shri Barun Singh Thakur was promoted from General Manager to Chief General Manager and posted to the Inspection Wing.
- · Shri Shambhu Lal holds a Master of Commerce degree and is a Certified Associate of the Indian Institute of Bankers.
- · Shri Barun Singh Thakur holds a Master of Business Administration and is also a Certified Associate of the Indian Institute of Bankers.
- · The changes are effective from October 1, 2026.
01-10-2026
HDFC Bank announced the appointment of Mr. Anup Bagchi as Managing Director & CEO, effective October 27, 2026, for a three-year term, following RBI approval. He succeeds Mr. Sashidhar Jagdishan, who retires on October 26, 2026. Mr. Bagchi, a seasoned financial services leader, previously served as MD & CEO of ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, where under his leadership the company crossed Rs. 10,000 crore in APE for the first time in FY2025, with APE growing 15% YoY to Rs. 10,407 crore and profit after tax increasing nearly 40% to Rs. 1,189 crore.
- · Mr. Bagchi holds a Management degree from IIM Bangalore and an Engineering degree from IIT Kanpur.
- · He served as Executive Director of ICICI Bank from 2017 to 2023, overseeing Retail, Business and Rural Banking, and subsequently Wholesale Banking.
- · Under his leadership, ICICI Bank became the first private-sector bank in India to surpass a retail mortgage portfolio of Rs. 2 trillion.
- · Mr. Bagchi is not related to any other Director or Key Managerial Personnel of HDFC Bank and is not debarred by any SEBI order.
- · The appointment is subject to shareholder approval under the Companies Act, 2013.
01-10-2026
ICICI Bank Limited has published a newspaper advertisement regarding a Special Window for Transfer and Dematerialisation of Physical Securities, as required by SEBI Circular dated January 30, 2026. The advertisement was published in the Financial Express (all editions). This is a routine regulatory compliance disclosure with no financial impact.
- · The advertisement is published pursuant to SEBI Circular HO/38/13/11(2)2026 - MIRSD - POD/I/3750/2026 dated January 30, 2026.
- · The advertisement was published in the Financial Express (all editions).
01-10-2026
Canara Bank reported provisional business figures for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, showing strong growth across all key metrics. Global business grew 15.83% YoY to ₹30,70,928 Crore, driven by a 19.35% YoY increase in global advances. However, domestic deposit growth lagged at 10.96% YoY, and quarter-on-quarter growth across all segments was moderate, ranging from 4.67% to 6.21%.
- · Figures are provisional and subject to audit/review by the Statutory Central Auditors.
- · RAM (Domestic) segment grew 21.00% YoY, the highest among all reported segments.
- · Domestic Deposits QoQ growth was the lowest at 5.05%, while Global Advances QoQ growth was the highest at 6.21%.
01-10-2026
Canara Bank reported provisional business figures for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, showing strong year-on-year growth across all key metrics. Global business grew 15.83% YoY to ₹3,070,928 Crore, driven by a 19.35% YoY increase in global advances. However, quarter-on-quarter growth was more moderate, with global business rising 5.71% and domestic advances increasing only 4.67% QoQ, indicating a deceleration in the pace of expansion compared to the prior quarter.
- · Figures are provisional and subject to audit/review by Statutory Central Auditors.
- · RAM (Retail, Agriculture, MSME) domestic portfolio grew 21.00% YoY, the highest among all segments.
- · Global advances grew faster (19.35% YoY) than global deposits (13.13% YoY), indicating a slight increase in credit-to-deposit ratio.
01-10-2026
Canara Bank reported provisional business figures for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, showing strong year-over-year growth across all key metrics. Global business grew 15.83% YoY to ₹30,70,928 Crore, driven by a 19.35% YoY increase in global advances. However, quarter-over-quarter growth was more moderate, with global business up 5.71% and domestic advances growing only 4.67% QoQ, indicating a deceleration in the pace of expansion.
- · Figures are provisional and subject to audit/review by the Statutory Central Auditors.
- · The filing is made under SEBI (LODR) Regulations, 2015 and the Canara Bank Code of Conduct for Prohibition of Insider Trading.
01-10-2026
India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) affirmed IDFC First Bank's long-term debt instruments (Basel III Tier II Bonds and Infrastructure Bonds) at 'IND AA+/Stable' for an aggregate ₹17,520 crore, while withdrawing the rating on matured non-convertible debentures of ₹408 crore. CARE Ratings reaffirmed the bank's long-term bank facilities at 'CARE AA+/Stable' for ₹692.38 crore and long-term debt instruments for ₹248.10 crore. The rating rationales highlight the bank's continued franchise expansion and stable liability profile, but also note higher operating expenses and credit costs that constrain internal accruals relative to peers.
- · The bank's retail, agri and MSME book accounted for 79% of total funded exposure in 1QFY27.
- · Share of microfinance loans moderated in overall book; 93% of MFI loan book covered under CGFMU as of June 2026.
- · The bank recovered ₹5.1 billion in 1QFY27 against which contingent provision was created.
- · Top 20 deposits-to-total deposits increased to 9.39% in FY26 from 7.95% in FY25.
- · CET1 ratio moderated to 13.3% in 1QFY27 from 13.7% in FY26 due to business growth exceeding internal accruals.
- · The bank is likely to require a capital raise in FY28 to maintain adequate capital buffers.
- · SMA 1 and SMA 2 as a percentage of retail, agri and MSME loans reduced to 0.77% in 1QFY27 from 1.07% in FY26.
- · Unsecured book accounted for 39.7% of total advances in FY26, down from 40.5% in FY25.
- · Management expects credit cost to normalise to 150bp-160bp in FY27 and RoA to reach ~100bp.
- · The bank had 4.85% of net demand time liabilities as excess statutory liquidity ratio at 1QFY27.
- · Post merger of IDFC Limited, President of India's shareholding stands at 7.74%.
- · Rating sensitivities include CET1 buffer falling and remaining below 12.5% on a sustained basis as a negative trigger.
01-10-2026
ICICI Bank Limited received a show cause notice (SCN) under the Maharashtra GST Act on September 30, 2026, raising a GST demand of ₹229,14,35,396 (approx. ₹229 Cr) plus interest and penalty on services provided to customers maintaining specified minimum balances. The Bank is already in litigation on a similar issue and will file a reply within prescribed timelines. While the demand is material enough to trigger disclosure, it is a routine tax notice in the ordinary course of business and not a securities regulator action.
- · The SCN was issued under Section 73 of the Maharashtra Goods and Services Tax Act, 2017 by the Additional Commissioner, CGST and C. Ex, Division-IV, Mumbai East Commissionerate.
- · The Bank is already in litigation (including a writ petition) on a similar issue from past orders/SCNs.
- · The notice was received on September 30, 2026 at 05:57 p.m.
- · The disclosure is made under Regulation 30 of SEBI (Listing Obligations and Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2015.
01-10-2026
Punjab National Bank (PNB) disclosed on October 1, 2026, that it received an administrative warning letter from SEBI's Investigations Department for violations of insider trading norms. The violations involved six individuals—three designated persons and their immediate relatives—who traded in the bank's shares between June 24, 2024, and August 6, 2024. SEBI's letter is cautionary in nature and does not impose any financial penalty on the bank.
- · The trading violation period was from June 24, 2024 to August 6, 2024 (and beyond wherever deemed necessary).
- · The SEBI letter is dated September 30, 2026, and was received by the bank on October 1, 2026.
- · The bank stated it will take necessary steps to address the concerns mentioned in the SEBI letter.
- · No financial penalty has been imposed on the bank.
01-10-2026
ICRA reaffirmed AU Small Finance Bank's long-term debt rating at [ICRA] AA and revised the outlook from Stable to Positive, also assigning a rating to Rs. 100 crore infrastructure bonds. The action reflects the bank's improving scale, established retail franchise, adequate capitalisation (CAR 18.9% as of June 30, 2026), and healthy earnings (RoA 1.6% in Q1 FY2027). However, asset quality remains a monitorable, with gross NPAs at 2.1% (down from 2.5% a year earlier), and the bank faces challenges from a moderate CASA share (29%) and high bulk deposits (42%).
- · Gross loan portfolio stood at Rs. 1,44,250 crore as on June 30, 2026, with secured retail loans comprising 67% of GLP.
- · Vehicle financing and mortgage-backed micro business loans accounted for 34% and 25% of GLP, respectively, as of June 2026.
- · Approximately 96% of the microfinance portfolio is covered under the Credit Guarantee Fund for Micro Units (CGFMU).
- · Capital adequacy ratio was 18.9% (Tier I: 17.1%) as on June 30, 2026, well above regulatory requirement of 15.0% (Tier I: 7.5%).
- · Liquidity coverage ratio was 119% for the quarter ended June 30, 2026; net stable funding ratio was 111%.
- · Deposits constituted 92% of external borrowings as on June 30, 2026, up from 84% as on March 31, 2021.
- · Around 51% of bulk deposits were non-callable.
- · ICRA expects credit costs to remain slightly elevated in FY2027.
- · Negative rating sensitivity: RoA below 1.2% on a sustained basis could negatively impact the rating.
- · The bank last raised ~Rs. 2,000 crore of equity capital in FY2023 through a qualified institutional placement.
01-10-2026
Kotak Mahindra Bank announced that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) approved the appointment of Anup Kumar Saha as Managing Director & CEO for three years, effective January 1, 2027. Saha, currently Whole-time Director, brings over 32 years of experience, including leadership roles at Bajaj Finance and ICICI Bank. The appointment is subject to formalization by the Board and members' approval.
- · Anup Kumar Saha joined Kotak in January 2026 and became Whole-time Director in March 2026, overseeing Retail Bank, Data Analytics, and Marketing.
- · Prior to Kotak, Saha was MD & CEO of Bajaj Finance from April 2025 until his resignation in July 2025.
- · Saha spent 14 years at ICICI Bank (2003–2017) in senior roles including Retail Secured Assets and Credit Cards.
- · He holds a B.Tech from IIT Kharagpur and an MBA from IIM Lucknow.
- · RBI approval was received on September 30, 2026, under Section 35B of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949.
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