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Federal IT & Cybersecurity Contracts — February 05, 2026

Federal IT & Cybersecurity Contracts

5 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

February 2026 Federal IT & Cybersecurity stream reveals $593M in obligations across 5 bullish contracts, dominated by long-term sustainment, O&M, and infrastructure services for civilian agencies like Commerce/NOAA (26% share), DOJ, HHS/CMS, and VA. High outlays (avg. 70% obligated) signal execution momentum, with options adding $217M+ upside potential to $810M ceiling. Significant subawards (avg. 25% of outlays) highlight supply chain dependencies but affirm competitive positioning via full/open awards.

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Federal IT & Cybersecurity Contracts digest from February 04, 2026.

Investment Signals(3)

  • Robust demand for IT sustainment in civilian agencies(HIGH)

    All 5 awards target multi-year O&M, claims processing, and compute sustainment, with 70%+ avg. outlays confirming revenue visibility through 2031.

  • NOAA doubles down on IT infrastructure(HIGH)

    Commerce/NOAA awards total $265M (44% of stream) for custom programming and high-performance compute, spanning 2023-2031.

  • Small business competitiveness in VA IT(MEDIUM)

    Iron Bow, a small business, secures $106M obligation (up to $323M options) via full/open competition for Cisco infrastructure.

Risk Flags(3)

  • Execution[HIGH RISK]

    High subaward dependencies (avg. $27M or 25% of outlays across 50+ recipients) expose primes to subcontractor performance.

  • Execution[MEDIUM RISK]

    T&M contracts (3 of 5) vulnerable to labor cost scrutiny; FFP (2 of 5) risks overruns on long horizons to 2031.

  • Market[MEDIUM RISK]

    Extended periods (avg. 4.5 years remaining) to 2031 face budget/policy shifts in Medicare/NOAA priorities.

Opportunities(2)

  • Unexercised options total $217M+ (e.g., Iron Bow $217M to $323M; Peraton $23M), plus follow-ons post-2026-2028.

  • Full/open wins in NAICS 54151x signal pipeline for sustainment in health/atmospherics IT.

Sector Themes(2)

  • 100% of awards are multi-year sustainment/O&M (PSC R425, DF01, DA01), with NOAA/CMS/VA prioritizing claims/compute stability.

  • 153+ subawards totaling $135M+ indicate broad supplier networks in fed IT.

Watch List(3)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Iron Bow Technologies", "reason"=>"$106M obligation with $217M options upside in VA IT; small biz outcompeting larges.", "trigger"=>"Options exercised beyond 2026-09-30"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"NOAA IT budget", "reason"=>"44% stream concentration ($265M) in long-term compute/programming.", "trigger"=>"New task orders or FY2027 funding"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Peraton Enterprise Solutions", "reason"=>"$100M CMS Medicare claims sustainment to 2027 with $23M options.", "trigger"=>"HHS policy shifts or extensions"}

Get daily alerts with 3 investment signals, 3 risk alerts, 2 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 5 filings

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