India Monetary Policy RBI MPC Decisions — June 29, 2026
The four filings from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) covering daily money market operations from June 25 to June 28, 2026, paint a picture of a tightly managed liquidity environment with the policy rate corridor firmly anchored. The weighted average call money rate has been oscillating around the repo rate, with the Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) consistently absorbing large sums (₹1.23-1.28 lakh crore daily) at 5.00%, indicating surplus liquidity is being parked at the lower bound. The Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) has seen minimal usage (₹269-₹551 crore daily) at 5.50%, suggesting banks are not facing acute overnight funding stress. A notable period-over-period trend is the sharp drop in overnight market volumes from ₹6,65,304.77 crore on June 25 to zero on June 26, 27, and 28, likely due to a weekend effect or quarter-end balance sheet management, which warrants monitoring for systemic liquidity tightness. The net liquidity injection from outstanding operations has remained stable around ₹40,000-42,000 crore, but the shift from active overnight trading to pure SDF absorption signals a cautious, risk-averse stance by market participants. The most critical development is the complete evaporation of overnight segment volumes for three consecutive days, which could indicate either a technical anomaly or a deeper liquidity preference shift that may influence the RBI's next policy decision. Overall, the data supports a neutral-to-slightly-dovish policy bias, as the system remains flush with liquidity that the RBI is absorbing at the floor rate.