India Monetary Policy RBI MPC Decisions — March 13, 2026
RBI filings reveal tightening liquidity conditions with daily net absorptions of ₹298,377 Cr to ₹406,459 Cr (Mar 2-8) and overall net injection of -₹2,48,500 Cr on Mar 12, alongside WoW forex reserve decline of 0.8% to ₹6,576 Cr (US$717 Bn), though YoY growth remains robust at 15.7%. Bank deposits expanded 1.7% FoF and 11.9% YoY to ₹2,519,018 Cr, while credit grew 1.6% FoF and 14.5% YoY to ₹2,075,408 Cr, signaling strong lending momentum despite bank borrowings falling ₹22,161 Cr FoF. Money supply M3 rose 1.5% FoF and 11.5% YoY to ₹3,029,804 Cr, but CRR shortfall persists at ₹7,40,987 Cr vs ₹7,63,554 Cr required. Upcoming G-Sec auction on Mar 17 (₹58,420 Cr) and LIC Housing Finance board meeting on Mar 25 for FY27 borrowing budget add catalysts. BlackRock's 0.06% stake increase in Sammaan Capital to 7.68% reflects foreign investor conviction in financials amid mixed macro sentiment. Portfolio-level trends show credit/deposit strength (avg YoY 13.2%) contrasting liquidity caution, implying stable rates but hawkish bias for bonds/banks.