India RBI Monetary Policy Repo Rate Decisions — October 08, 2026
The RBI's liquidity management operations on October 8, 2026, reveal a system awash with surplus cash, as evidenced by the significant under-subscription of the ₹2,00,000 crore overnight VRRR auction (only ₹1,60,664 crore offered). The cut-off rate of 5.49% for the overnight auction, which is below the current repo rate, signals the market's expectation of an imminent policy rate cut. The central bank's reliance on short-dated (overnight and 29-day) instruments to absorb liquidity, rather than longer-tenor operations, suggests a cautious, data-dependent approach to normalizing its balance sheet. The upcoming 10-day VRRR auction on October 9 indicates a continuation of this fine-tuning exercise. The neutral sentiment across all filings masks a subtle but important shift in the liquidity and rate environment, pointing toward a potential easing bias in the upcoming MPC meeting.