India Monetary Policy RBI MPC Decisions — August 31, 2026
The nine filings for August 31, 2026, paint a picture of a banking system awash in liquidity, with the RBI absorbing over ₹5 lakh crore daily through reverse repo operations, yet facing weak demand for longer-term absorption tools. The most material development is a sharp acceleration in bank credit growth to 16.5% YoY (from 9.9% a year ago), driven by a surge in private corporate borrowing (21.1% vs 7.9% YoY), while deposit growth remains tepid at 11.5%. This credit-deposit growth divergence is a key risk, as banks are funding rapid loan expansion with slower deposit accumulation, compressing margins. The weighted average lending rate has eased 45 bps to 9.26%, indicating improved credit conditions, but deposit rates are also compressing, with term deposits under 7% interest surging from 35% to over two-thirds of the total. A 15-day VRRR auction saw only 22.4% subscription, signaling that banks are reluctant to lock in funds at 5.24%, preferring to hold excess cash or deploy it in higher-yielding loans. The overall theme is one of ample liquidity, accelerating credit demand, and margin pressure, with the RBI's operations struggling to fine-tune the system.