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New Federal Contractors — April 16, 2026

New Federal Contractors

12 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

These 12 new federal contracts aggregate $2,556,508,585 in total obligations, with 11 civilian awards ($2,407M) across State, HHS, USAID, NASA, DHS, USDA, DOE, and GSA, plus one $149M DOD construction award to Skanska USA Civil Northeast Inc. Dominant themes include Dept of State services ($1.07B via CGI Federal's $620M passport support and AAR's $449M aviation maintenance) and HHS preparedness ($434M via Agiliti Health's $327M ventilators/PAPR and DLH's $107M IT). Highest-conviction bullish signals stem from strong outlay execution on AAR ($290M outlaid), Agiliti ($272M outlaid), and ABT Global ($160M outlaid on $279M USAID malaria control). Key risk is near-term recompetes for maturing contracts like CGI Federal (ends 2024-05-09) and AAR (ends 2024-05-31) amid no indicated extensions.

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior New Federal Contractors digest from April 15, 2026.

Investment Signals(7)

  • AAR Government Services Wins $449M State Dept Aviation Maintenance Delivery Order(HIGH)

    $449M total obligation (potential $500M with options) with $290M outlaid through option year three on cost-plus fixed fee contract ending 2024-05-31 signals strong execution and revenue visibility for aircraft repair services.

  • Agiliti Health Secures $327M HHS Ventilator Maintenance Contract(HIGH)

    $326M firm fixed price obligation (potential $494M) with $272M outlaid for preventive maintenance of ventilators/PAPR systems through 2026-08-27 (potential 2028) underscores competitive win in health preparedness.

  • ABT Global Awarded $279M USAID Malaria Vector Control Contract(MEDIUM)

    $279M cost-plus fixed fee obligation (potential $810M) with $160M outlaid including $64M subawards over 5-year term to 2027-12-18 provides long-term civilian revenue stream.

  • Skanska USA Civil Northeast Lands $149M DOD Construction Contract(MEDIUM)

    $149M DOD award signals entry into defense construction amid sole listed defense obligation in this civilian-heavy batch.

  • CGI Federal's $620M State Dept Passport Contract Nears Maturity(MEDIUM)

    $620M time and materials obligation (potential $844M) with only $191M outlaid over 6.5 years ending 2024-05-09 reflects steady but slowing revenue without extension signals.

  • DLH LLC Executes $107M NIH IT Management BPA Call(HIGH)

    $107M firm fixed price obligation with $86M outlaid through 2026-04-15 demonstrates high cash realization on full and open competition win.

  • Axiom Space Gains $100M NASA EVA Demonstration Order(MEDIUM)

    $100M firm fixed price obligation (potential $172M) with $77M outlaid to small business for space vehicle services through 2028-08-09.

Risk Flags(3)

  • Execution[HIGH RISK]

    Firm fixed price structures on Agiliti Health ($327M HHS), DLH ($107M NIH), Amentum ($227M NASA), Axiom ($100M NASA), California Dairies ($71M USDA), and North Wind ($67M DOE) expose contractors to performance cost overruns.

  • Competition[MEDIUM RISK]

    Maturing contracts like CGI Federal ($620M State, ends 2024-05-09), AAR ($449M State, ends 2024-05-31), and Amentum ($227M NASA, ends 2026-04-12) face recompete uncertainty with no extensions indicated.

  • Concentration[MEDIUM RISK]

    Dept of State concentration at $1.07B (CGI $620M + AAR $449M) heightens exposure to diplomatic budget shifts.

Opportunities(3)

  • Option exercises on ABT Global ($279M USAID to potential $810M), Agiliti ($327M HHS to $494M), Axiom ($100M NASA to $172M), and Amentum ($227M NASA to $252M) could add $700M+ upside.

  • DLH ($107M to $112M options) and GD Information Technology ($66M to $71M) IT contracts offer near-term outlay acceleration on high execution ($86M/$47M outlaid).

  • Skanska USA Civil Northeast's $149M DOD win as sole defense award positions for follow-on construction.

Sector Themes(3)

  • HHS awards to Agiliti Health ($327M ventilators/PAPR maintenance, $272M outlaid) and DLH ($107M NIH IT, $86M outlaid) highlight sustained demand for medical equipment and health IT services through 2026-2028.

  • $1.07B combined to CGI Federal ($620M passport IT, ends 2024) and AAR ($449M aviation, $290M outlaid, ends 2024) under full competition signals ongoing diplomatic support needs.

  • Amentum ($227M facilities maintenance to 2026) and Axiom ($100M EVA demo to 2028, $77M outlaid) provide long-duration civilian space exposure.

Watch List(5)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"CGI Federal Inc.", "reason"=>"$620M State contract ends 2024-05-09 with only $191M outlaid; recompete risk.", "trigger"=>"recompete announcement post-2024-05-09"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"AAR Government Services, Inc.", "reason"=>"$449M State aviation order ends 2024-05-31; $290M outlaid, monitor extensions.", "trigger"=>"contract modifications or extensions beyond 2024-05-31"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Agiliti Health Inc.", "reason"=>"$327M HHS obligation with $272M outlaid; options to $494M and extension to 2028-02-27.", "trigger"=>"option exercises and 2026-08-27 performance review"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"ABT Global LLC", "reason"=>"$279M USAID to potential $810M; $160M outlaid through 2027-12-18.", "trigger"=>"future option exercises"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"SKANSKA USA CIVIL NORTHEAST INC.", "reason"=>"Sole $149M DOD award; track for defense pipeline expansion.", "trigger"=>"DOD follow-on announcements"}

Get daily alerts with 7 investment signals, 3 risk alerts, 3 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 12 filings

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