Executive Summary
These 21 significant contract modifications totaling $1,703,423,541 in obligations are entirely civilian (0/21 defense-related), highlighting robust federal spending in biotech R&D, IT services, and facilities support outside DOD. Dominant themes include HHS/BARDA biothreat preparedness (Shionogi $119M, Vedanta $79M) and IT modernization across Treasury/IRS (IBM $110M + $90M), VA (Salient CRGT $93M), and GSA (Mantech $77M potential $910M). Highest-conviction bullish signal is Shionogi's $119M BARDA award (up to $482M options) for antibiotics R&D through 2036, signaling multi-year biotech revenue. Key risk is zero outlays on multiple high-value awards (e.g., Shionogi $119M, Mantech $77M, Deloitte $70M), exposing execution delays amid fixed-price structures.
Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from April 07, 2026.
Investment Signals(7)
- Shionogi $119M HHS BARDA Biotech R&D Contract(HIGH)▲
Shionogi Inc secured a $119M cost-plus-fixed-fee contract (potential $482M base + options) from HHS BARDA for antibiotics targeting drug-resistant infections, with a 10-year period to 2036-03-10 under full competition.
- Salient CRGT $93M VA IT Platform Services Delivery Order(HIGH)▲
Salient CRGT won a $93M time-and-materials delivery order (potential $199M) from VA Technology Acquisition Center for technical application platforms, with $22M already outlayed since April 2025 award.
- Mantech $77M GSA USSOUTHCOM Cyber IT Order (Potential $910M)(HIGH)▲
Mantech Advanced Systems (parent Mantech International) received a $77M cost-plus-award-fee GSA delivery order for USSOUTHCOM cyber IT services, with ceiling up to $910M through potential 2032.
- Vedanta $79M HHS BARDA Antibiotic Countermeasures R&D(HIGH)▲
Vedanta Biosciences secured a $79M cost-sharing contract (potential $114M) from HHS BARDA, with $71M outlayed since 2020 for biotech R&D against antibiotic-resistant infections through 2027 (potential 2031).
- IBM $90M Treasury IRS Modernized E-File Services(MEDIUM)▲
IBM won a $90M firm-fixed-price delivery order (potential $148M) from Treasury IRS IT Operations for e-file IT services, with $51M outlayed since May 2024 through potential 2029.
- IBM $110M Treasury Contract Terminated for Convenience(HIGH)▲
IBM's $110M firm-fixed-price Treasury IRS e-file modernization order (fully outlayed) faces termination dated 3/24/2025 per executive orders, despite 2024 performance end.
- Syncom $100M NASA Facilities Support Nearing Completion(MEDIUM)▲
Syncom Space Services (Amentum subsidiary) has $100M NASA obligation with $99M outlayed for Stennis Space Center operations through June 2025.
Risk Flags(4)
- Execution[HIGH RISK]▼
Zero outlays on top awards like Shionogi $119M HHS BARDA, Mantech $77M GSA, and Deloitte $70M State Dept expose delays in biotech/IT execution.
- Budget[MEDIUM RISK]▼
SmARTRONIX $116M GSA IT order shows negative -$162k outlayed on 2018-2023 contract, signaling potential de-obligation.
- Regulatory[HIGH RISK]▼
IBM $110M Treasury contract terminated 3/24/2025 per executive orders, risking final settlement on fully outlayed funds.
- Competition[MEDIUM RISK]▼
High fixed-price risks on Quality Support $113M State visa services (SDVOSB set-aside, $0 outlayed through 2026) and ENSCO $70M DOT rail inspection.
Opportunities(4)
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Mantech $77M GSA cyber IT order offers $910M ceiling via options for USSOUTHCOM through 2032.
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Serco $96M PBGC engineering services delivery order with $239M potential through 2029.
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Salient CRGT $93M VA IT platform services with $199M ceiling through potential 2030.
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Shionogi and Vedanta HHS BARDA biotech R&D contracts ($119M + $79M obligations, up to $596M combined potential) for biothreat antibiotics.
Sector Themes(3)
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Shionogi $119M and Vedanta $79M awards (combined $198M obligation, $596M potential) fund late-stage antibiotics development for drug-resistant pathogens through 2031-2036.
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IT-heavy wins include Salient CRGT $93M VA, Mantech $77M GSA cyber, IBM $90M+$110M Treasury IRS, Deloitte $70M State (NAICS 541512 dominant).
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VA awards to Salient CRGT $93M IT platforms, General Dynamics IT $65M computing, Greenbrier $61M software maintenance signal sustained IT/compute spending.
Watch List(5)
- 👁
{"entity"=>"Shionogi Inc", "reason"=>"$119M HHS BARDA obligation at $0 outlayed; 10-year biotech R&D potential to $482M.", "trigger"=>"outlay progress, FDA milestones, 2036-03-10 options"}
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{"entity"=>"Mantech International Corp", "reason"=>"$77M GSA USSOUTHCOM cyber IT with $910M ceiling, $0 outlayed.", "trigger"=>"option exercises post-2026-04-24"}
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{"entity"=>"IBM Corporation", "reason"=>"Dual Treasury $200M+ IRS IT orders; one terminated 3/24/2025.", "trigger"=>"termination settlement, $148M options on active order"}
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{"entity"=>"Salient CRGT Inc", "reason"=>"$93M VA IT order with $22M outlayed toward $199M potential.", "trigger"=>"outlay ramp, 2030-04-10 extension"}
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{"entity"=>"Vedanta Biosciences Inc", "reason"=>"$79M HHS BARDA with $71M outlayed; options to $114M.", "trigger"=>"remaining drawdown, 2027-01-31 vs 2031-12-31 end"}
Get daily alerts with 7 investment signals, 4 risk alerts, 4 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 21 filings
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